The Rain Chances are Increasing

Good afternoon,
I hope all of you have been enjoying the past few dry, sunny, and warm days. Today and tomorrow, I am expecting highs from the low 90s to low 100s across all of Georgia.
Unfortunately, today is the last dry day. Starting tomorrow, thunderstorm chances will gradually start increasing, with the highest chances very unfortunately Saturday through Monday. It looks like Labor Day will be wet, and the day before somewhat wet too. Even Saturday could experience some scattered heavy rainfall.
Here are some of my thoughts about the rain
The best rain chances on Thursday will be on the south and east sides of the state. They will consist of scattered thunderstorms that will gradually develop into a string.
Friday and Saturday, scattered thunderstorms will train across the whole state.
Sunday and Monday, the thunderstorms will likely be closely organized, and things might approach a washout. I am expecting 0.75 - 1.5 inches of rain across the state during the next 7 days.
Tomorrow, a forecast map for Labor Day will be out. Another one will be out on Sunday, probably more updated.
Thanks for tuning in!
Mark

Several Dry Days Followed by the Approach of Rain and Possible Severe Weather

Good morning,

Like I mentioned, Friday and Saturday were not fully dry, as both days there were showers and thunderstorms scattered across the region, with Friday even bringing some strong ones across the extreme northern and southern parts of the state. 

However, we are looking for a mostly dry Sunday, and even drier Monday and Tuesday. Unfortunately, humidity and heat will be back too, due to a heat ridge slowly moving east into the Eastern US. I will have a map regarding how hot the temperatures will be the next few days out later today.

Here is what I am expecting for the day today. 

Now, will this dry and hot weather continue for a long time? That is not quite true. It will continue probably through Wednesday. After that, a cold front will be diving into the Southeast, with some rain, thunderstorms, and perhaps severe weather, which is too early to tell yet. The cold front will give temperatures a plunge, and it might be that a taste of autumn will follow.

Here is what I am expecting Thursday.

Holiday greetings! Stay right here at Georgia Weather Plus to get a sneak peak at the Labor Day 2013 forecast for Georgia! A discussion will be up on Tuesday, and a forecast map will be out next weekend. 

Stay tuned!

Mark

Wet Saturday Followed by Pleasant Dry Spell

So far this week has been wet for many across the state of Georgia, but I have some good news for y'all! 

It does look like a  pleasant dry spell is coming next week. However, we are going to get more rain before it, and to be exact, I am expecting some rain showers across the state on Saturday. 

Let us take a look at my projected setup for Sunday through Tuesday of next week. 

According to this map, a block will setup over the Plains bringing up a heat ridge. Because of this block, dry air will be driven into the east, bringing sunshine and unfortunately, humidity and heat too. However, there will be showers on Saturday, but by Sunday, they will be driven away into Louisiana and Mississippi as shown above. However, by Wednesday or Thursday of next week, a cold front will arrive, and the showers and storms will be back! 

I am expecting around 0.5 inches of rain as the most across Georgia on Saturday.

Stay tuned!

**URGENT: TORNADO WARNING**

There is a Tornado Warning in effect until 8:30 PM for the following:

Counties Affected

• Heard
• Carroll

Cities Affected

• Ephesus
• Veal
• Carrollton 
• Bowdon
• Roopville
• Clem
• Bowdon Junction

SEEK SHELTER NOW!

More Heavy Rain Coming!

Good morning everybody,

So far we had a wet start to the weekend, and around 0.5 to 2 inches fell on Saturday across Georgia, with the highest amounts across the southwestern counties of the state. Now, you probably long to ask, will this wet weather continue for Sunday? Absolutely. In fact, several factors will likely make today a washout! First of all, tropical moisture will be on the right track to hit the state, especially the western counties. Also, the approach of a low-pressure system together with a stationary front slowly rising to the west-northwest will bring in an all-day moderate to heavy rain event across much of Georgia. Please cancel all your outdoor plans for today, as we could be getting over 2 inches of rain in Southwest Georgia and even as much as an inch as far as the northwest sections of the state. 

In addition, the National Weather Service in Peachtree City, Georgia, issued a Flash Flood Watch through tonight. 

In short, today is a River/Flash Flooding Awareness Day, and I recommend that all interests in Georgia -- especially those, who live roughly south of I-85 and west of I-75 -- monitor the latest forecasts put out by the National Weather Service, and of course, monitor Georgia Weather Plus for live updates on the flooding threat.  

Remember, if you or on the road and you see water on the road, TURN AROUND AND DON'T DROWN! You NEVER know how deep the water may be, so turning around is always the safest thing to do. 

Here is my forecast for the rainfall totals in Georgia today.

Also, since Atlanta is by far the biggest city in Georgia, I have created a timeline for the rain in Atlanta, so that you'll know what to expect throughout the day.

Please stay right here for all updates on the rain! Live updates will be posted starting 4 or 5 PM! Thanks for tuning in!

Heavy Rainfall & Severe Weather

While there is not as much heavy rain as anticipated across the state today, much of the areas in Southern Georgia are still experiencing heavy rain and severe weather. There is still about a 40% chance that a Flash/River Flooding Awareness Day will be posted, but for now, it is a Severe Weather Awareness Day. Thus, all new Severe Thunderstorm/Tornado Warnings/Watches will be posted.

Heavy Rainfall Expected

The weather has been rather quiet over the past several days across Georgia, but we are expecting a period of heavy rain today through Monday across the state. Below is a setup outlook explaining why.






















First, we will have a system that will cross the region today bringing the first round of showers and storms. Then, during the weekend, Invest 92-L, which will probably be a tropical storm by that time, will head into the Gulf Coast States and bring us more rain Saturday and Sunday. Also, a jest stream dip with cooler air to our west may result in some severe weather across Alabama and possibly the northwest sections of Georgia. In addition, the eastern side of the tropical system might bring a few isolated tornadoes across South and east Georgia. In short, expect a very wet weekend, and be prepared to postpone and/or cancel all outdoor activities.

Here is my rainfall forecast for today through Monday.

Expect 1 inch of rain as the least across Northwest Georgia, to as much as locally above 6 inches across Southern Georgia.

*Today will likely be a Flash/River Flooding Awareness Day. A notice will be posted with the final decision around 4 or 5 PM.*

Flash Flooding Threats

A line of strong thunderstorms with small hail and gusty winds has entered Northwest Georgia, and will slowly chug across Northern Georgia, mainly to the north of I-20. While severe weather is not anticipated with this line, flash flooding may be a concern, and thus, a River/Flash Flooding Awareness Day -- announcing all new Flash Flood warnings -- might be needed shortly. If the storms will not weaken nor speed up in the next hour, the awareness day notice will be posted.

Rainfall Forecast for Thursday/Friday

Here is the anticipated rainfall forecast for today and tomorrow brought to you by Georgia Weather Plus:

The main threats will be flash flooding and river flooding, but an isolated severe storm might pop up too, bringing some gusty winds of 50-60 MPH.

*Chances are increasing for a River/Flash Flooding Awareness Day to be announced today, and only a slight increase in river/flash flooding activity will bring the need.*

*EXTREMELY HEAVY RAIN*

Today is a River/Flash Flooding Action Day, because of numerous flash flooding and flooding across Georgia. Different locations have reported between 3 to 8 inches of rain, and locally as much as 10. In addition, widespread amounts of 2-5 inches can be expected as the day progresses with numerous bands of heavy rain. Also, some of these heavy rain bands and thunderstorms could become locally severe, and produce small hail mainly dime to nickel sized, and wind gusts in excess of 60 MPH. 

I will post a map later today. Meanwhile, below is the current radar, together with some of the Flash Flood Warnings currently in effect. The green boxes are Flash Flood Warnings. 

All new Flash Flood Warnings will be posted. 

Thunderstorm Forecast for 8/3/13